#UncleBobExplains Seasonal Price Patterns – all the months’ $ at once

2002 til Nov 2018 – layer upon layer upon layer

This year over year line only broke “down” twice

a) in 2008 (crashing down thru previous 2 years prices – AND THEN wholly recovering and returning to full-blast appreciation in 2009 under zero% monetary policy)

and

b) Q4 2017.

2018 returned to the seasonal pattern” -Spring Blossom, Summer Lull & Fall Rally

It’s a matter of opinion (no one is right) whether Prices Flat or Up or Down is the best-guess for 2019

2_21a_Prices-yr-over-yr-TREB-NOV2018

I removed the Double Digit “Irrational Exuberance” of July 2016-June 2017

2_21c-_-Prices-MDFD-TWICE-NOV2018

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